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German Industry - a Tower of Strength?

Author

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  • Dorothea Lucke

Abstract

By the summer of 2011, Germany industry was back at levels last achieved before the economic crisis, thanks to continuous growth in production since early 2009. The recovery was driven by strong domestic and foreign demand for German capital and intermediate goods. However, the Ifo Business Climate Index, which has contracted since July 2011, and fewer orders suggest that industrial production will decline by the end of 2011. The duration and intensity of the slowdown will depend not least on how quickly policy-makers take convincing measures to resolve the debt crisis in the eurozone and thus allay widespread uncertainty among investors and consumers.

Suggested Citation

  • Dorothea Lucke, 2012. "German Industry - a Tower of Strength?," DIW Economic Bulletin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 2(1), pages 15-23.
  • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwdeb:2012-1-3
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    File URL: http://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.391192.de/diw_econ_bull_2012-01_3.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forecasts; business cycles; industrial production;

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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