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Estimating Uncertainty in Party Policy Positions Using the Confrontational Approach

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  • Louwerse, Tom
  • Pellikaan, Huib

Abstract

This research note extends the confrontational approach to estimating party policy positions by providing a way to estimate uncertainty associated with the measurements. The confrontational approach is a flexible method of determining party policy positions, which is ideally suited to measure parties’ positions on issues that are specific to a country or period in time. We introduce a method of estimating the uncertainty of confrontational estimates by restating the approach as a special case of an item response theory, opening up the possibility of using the confrontational approach not only as a descriptive tool but also as a means of testing hypotheses on party policy preferences. We illustrate our model using analysis of the 2010 Dutch parliamentary election and the 2009 European elections.

Suggested Citation

  • Louwerse, Tom & Pellikaan, Huib, 2018. "Estimating Uncertainty in Party Policy Positions Using the Confrontational Approach," Political Science Research and Methods, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(1), pages 197-209, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:pscirm:v:6:y:2018:i:01:p:197-209_00
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