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A Trump effect on immigration policy attitudes? Another look

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  • Taylor, Andrew J.

Abstract

Individuals who particularly like or dislike a president or presidential candidate may, through a process of motivated reasoning, personally support or oppose the politician’s policy positions as a consequence. I examine the extent to which attitudes toward Donald Trump shaped public opinion on immigration policy, a case that appears to invite motivated reasoning. I estimate the influence of attitudes about Trump by comparing them directly to views of Barack Obama and trade policy using large reputable national surveys. I find a material, if limited, Trump effect. Trump polarized Americans on immigration considerably. However, the polarization was not along racial or ethnic lines. Moreover, any Trump effect on immigration appears not to have been as large as that he brought to bear on trade. Contrary to some recent work, such an effect also appears to have elevated immigration only marginally in the list of those deemed important.

Suggested Citation

  • Taylor, Andrew J., 2026. "A Trump effect on immigration policy attitudes? Another look," Journal of Public Policy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(1), pages 102-125, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jnlpup:v:46:y:2026:i:1:p:102-125_5
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