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The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Anchors: Firm-Level Evidence

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  • Broz, J. Lawrence
  • Plouffe, Michael

Abstract

Analyses of monetary policy posit that exchange-rate pegs, inflation targets, and central bank independence can help anchor private-sector inflation expectations. Yet there are few direct tests of this argument. We offer cross-national, micro-level evidence on the effectiveness of monetary anchors in controlling private-sector inflation concerns. Using firm-level data from eighty-one countries (approximately 10,000 firms), we find evidence that “international” anchors (exchange-rate commitments) correlate significantly with a substantial reduction in private-sector concerns about inflation while “domestic” anchors (inflation targeting and central bank independence) do not. Our conjecture is that private-sector inflation expectations are more responsive to exchange-rate anchors because they are more transparent, more constraining, and more costly than domestic anchoring arrangements.

Suggested Citation

  • Broz, J. Lawrence & Plouffe, Michael, 2010. "The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Anchors: Firm-Level Evidence," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 64(4), pages 695-717, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:intorg:v:64:y:2010:i:04:p:695-717_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Michaël Aklin & Eric Arias & Julia Gray, 2022. "Inflation concerns and mass preferences over exchange‐rate policy," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 5-40, March.
    2. Petrevski, Goran, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," EconStor Preprints 271122, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    3. Martin Stojanovikj & Goran Petrevski, 2024. "Inflation targeting and disinflation costs in Emerging Market economies," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(1), pages 283-312, February.
    4. Nguyen Dinh Hoan, 2022. "Nexus among Green Energy Investment, World Oil Price, Monetary Policy and Business Performance: Evidence from Energy Companies on the Vietnamese Stock Exchange," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 404-411, November.

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