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Semi-Parametric Seasonal Unit Root Tests

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  • del Barrio Castro, Tomás
  • Rodrigues, Paulo M.M.
  • Robert Taylor, A.M.

Abstract

We extend the ${\cal M}$ class of unit root tests introduced by Stock (1999, Cointegration, Causality and Forecasting. A Festschrift in Honour of Clive W.J. Granger. Oxford University Press), Perron and Ng (1996, Review of Economic Studies 63, 435–463) and Ng and Perron (2001, Econometrica 69, 1519–1554) to the seasonal case, thereby developing semi-parametric alternatives to the regression-based augmented seasonal unit root tests of Hylleberg, Engle, Granger, and Yoo (1990, Journal of Econometrics 44, 215–238). The success of this class of unit root tests to deliver good finite sample size control even in the most problematic (near-cancellation) case where the shocks contain a strong negative moving average component is shown to carry over to the seasonal case as is the superior size/power trade-off offered by these tests relative to other available tests.

Suggested Citation

  • del Barrio Castro, Tomás & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Robert Taylor, A.M., 2018. "Semi-Parametric Seasonal Unit Root Tests," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(2), pages 447-476, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:34:y:2018:i:02:p:447-476_00
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Tomás del Barrio Castro & Gianluca Cubadda & Denise R. Osborn, 2020. "On Cointegration for Processes Integrated at Different Frequencies," CEIS Research Paper 502, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 11 Sep 2020.
    2. Alain Hecq & Sean Telg & Lenard Lieb, 2017. "Do Seasonal Adjustments Induce Noncausal Dynamics in Inflation Rates?," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 5(4), pages 1-22, October.

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    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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