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Regímenes de riesgo en el mercado de acciones colombiano

Author

Listed:
  • Uribe Gil Jorge Mario

Abstract

En el presente artículo, se busca contrastar la hipótesis de posibles cambios en los niveles de riesgo del mercado de acciones colombiano. Se estima un AR-SWARCH para los retornos del Índice General de la Bolsa de Valores de Colombia durante el período julio 2001-diciembre 2013. Se encuentra que existen dos regímenes de riesgo. En aquel de mayor riesgo, el factor que mide cuánto se incrementa la varianza asciende a 2,23, lo cual subraya la necesidad de considerar este fenómeno de transición entre regímenes dentro de los análisis hechos por practicantes financieros y reguladores en el país. Estos regímenes se relacionan con fenómenos previamente detectados en la literatura como fallas en términos de eficiencia informacional (o burbujas) y cambios significativos en el tamano y liquidez del mercado.

Suggested Citation

  • Uribe Gil Jorge Mario, 2016. "Regímenes de riesgo en el mercado de acciones colombiano," Revista Sociedad y Economía, Universidad del Valle, CIDSE, vol. 0(30), pages 11-404, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000172:014620
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    SWARCH; IGBC; regímenes de riesgo; GARCH Colombia; volatilidad condicional.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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