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Un Modelo De Manejo Optimo De Las Variables Cafeteras

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  • ARMANDO MONTENEGRO TRUJILLO

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  • ROBERTO STEINER SAMPEDRO

Abstract

En este artículo se presenta un modelo de optimización intertemporal de las utilidades de un fondo de comercialización internacional de café, cuando existen cuotas de los mercados internacionales. La variable de control del problema es el precio interno del grano. Como resultado del proceso de maximización del valor presente de los ingresos netos del Fondo, se obtienen niveles óptimos de inventarios, los cuales influyen positivamente en la determinación de las cuotas. El modelo también permite ralizar varios análisis de estática comparativa que describen las variaciones del precio interno y de los inventarios, originadas en cambios de las variables exógenas, tales como el precio externo, la tasa de cambio, la demanda mundial y la tasa de interés. Finalmente, se incluyen algunos ejercicios empíricos que tienden a confirmar los planteamientos del modelo.

Suggested Citation

  • Armando Montenegro Trujillo & Roberto Steiner Sampedro, 1987. "Un Modelo De Manejo Optimo De Las Variables Cafeteras," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 6(11), pages 111-133, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:003682
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    Cited by:

    1. Miguel Urrutia, 2000. "Comercio Exterior Y Actividad Económica De Colombia En El Siglo Xx: Exportaciones Totales Y Tradicionales," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002161, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.

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    CAFE;

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