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Un Modelo De Manejo Optimo De Las Variables Cafeteras

  • ARMANDO MONTENEGRO TRUJILLO

    ()

  • ROBERTO STEINER SAMPEDRO

En este artículo se presenta un modelo de optimización intertemporal de las utilidades de un fondo de comercialización internacional de café, cuando existen cuotas de los mercados internacionales. La variable de control del problema es el precio interno del grano. Como resultado del proceso de maximización del valor presente de los ingresos netos del Fondo, se obtienen niveles óptimos de inventarios, los cuales influyen positivamente en la determinación de las cuotas. El modelo también permite ralizar varios análisis de estática comparativa que describen las variaciones del precio interno y de los inventarios, originadas en cambios de las variables exógenas, tales como el precio externo, la tasa de cambio, la demanda mundial y la tasa de interés. Finalmente, se incluyen algunos ejercicios empíricos que tienden a confirmar los planteamientos del modelo.

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File URL: http://www.banrep.gov.co/docum/ensayos/pdf/espe_011-4.pdf
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Article provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE in its journal ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA.

Volume (Year): (1987)
Issue (Month): ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:col:000107:003682
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