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The interrelationship between exchange-rate uncertainty and unemployment for South Korea and Taiwan: Evidence from a vector autoregressive approach

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  • Shu-Chen Chang

Abstract

The goal of this paper is to estimate the effect between exchange-rate uncertainty and unemployment in South Korea and Taiwan. We use a vector autoregressive model to provide an efficient estimation between exchange-rate uncertainty and unemployment. We found that a long-run equilibrium relationship between exchange-rate uncertainty and unemployment exists in both Taiwan and South Korea when exchange-rate uncertainty is generated by two different measures. The exchange-rate uncertainly has a short-run impact on unemployment and vice versa, no matter which measure of uncertainty is used.

Suggested Citation

  • Shu-Chen Chang, 2011. "The interrelationship between exchange-rate uncertainty and unemployment for South Korea and Taiwan: Evidence from a vector autoregressive approach," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 125, pages 65-82.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2011-q1-125-3
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Petar Soric & Oscar Claveria, 2021. ""Employment uncertainty a year after the irruption of the covid-19 pandemic"," IREA Working Papers 202112, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised May 2021.
    2. Ojonugwa Usman & Osama Mohammed Elsalih, 2018. "Testing the Effects of Real Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Unemployment in Brazil," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-13, September.
    3. Oscar Claveria & Petar Sorić, 2023. "Labour market uncertainty after the irruption of COVID-19," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1897-1945, April.
    4. Hussaini Umaru & Aguda Niyi A. & Nordiana Osagie Davies, 2018. "The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth of West African English-Speaking Countries," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 131-143, October.
    5. Zahra Bakhshi & Mehrzad Ebrahimi, 2016. "The effect of real exchange rate on unemployment," Marketing and Branding Research, EUROKD, vol. 3(1), pages 4-13.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    EXCHANGE-RATE UNCERTAINTY; UNEMPLOYMENT; GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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