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Les cycles economiques en Tunisie : identification, caracterisation et comparaison internationale

Listed author(s):
  • Elachhab Fathi

Cet article propose une description des principales regularites empiriques du cycle economique – cycle classique et cycle de croissance – en Tunisie durant la periode 1970-2002. Les resultats obtenus montrent que (i) le cycle de croissance parait plutot symetrique, contrairement au cycle classique ; (ii) pour le cycle de croissance, il semble qu’il n’y ait pas de relation entre la duree d’une phase et la probabilite qu’elle prenne fin, contrairement au cas du cycle classique ; (iii) les regularites empiriques des cycles classique et de croissance sont proches de celles observees dans les pays developpes ; (iv) il existe une forte synchronisation entre le cycle de croissance de la Tunisie et les cycles de ses principaux partenaires europeens.

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Article provided by CEPII research center in its journal Economie Internationale.

Volume (Year): (2007)
Issue (Month): 110 ()
Pages: 31-61

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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2007-2tb
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