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Sorties de capitaux : le vrai peche originel des pays emergents

  • Rim Ennajar
  • Pierre Laurent
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    Ce travail cherche a mettre en evidence le role joue par les sorties de capitaux dans l’apparition de situations critiques pour les economies emergentes, notamment en regard de leurs besoins de financement externes. Apres avoir degage les faits stylises relatifs aux sorties de capitaux dans les pays emergents, nous procedons a un redecoupage de la balance des paiements. Celui-ci nous permet de definir des agregats a partir desquels nous pouvons observer la contribution de ces sorties a l’accroissement de la dette externe. Nous degageons ensuite les tendances communes qui lient ces sorties a la dynamique de la dette externe publique et privee. Enfin, deux configurations critiques sont mises en evidence et permettent une lecture du role joue par les sorties de capitaux dans les episodes de crises emergentes.

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    File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/francgraph/publications/ecointern/rev103/rev103f.htm
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    Article provided by CEPII research center in its journal Economie Internationale.

    Volume (Year): (2005)
    Issue (Month): 103 ()
    Pages: 121-153

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    Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2005-3tf
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