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Looking Forward Towards the ERM II Central Parity: The Case of Poland

Author

Listed:
  • Jakub Borowski
  • Anna Czogala
  • Adam Czyzewski

Abstract

This paper addresses issues related to the choice of the central parity for Poland’s prospective ERM II membership. It discusses the relevance of different concepts of equilibrium exchange rate in the determination of the central parity and, on the basis of recent studies, it provides a tentative assessment of the equilibrium exchange rate of the Polish zloty. Risks resulting from a potential exchange rate misalignment are also analysed. Finally, in the context of the choice of the central parity, the paper gives insights into developments in the Polish labour market and factors behind the persistently high unemployment rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Jakub Borowski & Anna Czogala & Adam Czyzewski, 2005. "Looking Forward Towards the ERM II Central Parity: The Case of Poland," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 102, pages 9-31.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2005-2ta
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    File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/IE/rev102/rev102a.htm
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jakub Borowski & Michal Brzoza-Brzezina, 2004. "Designing Poland's Macroeconomic Strategy on the Way to the Euro Area," EUI-RSCAS Working Papers 10, European University Institute (EUI), Robert Schuman Centre of Advanced Studies (RSCAS).
    2. Jovanovic, Branimir, 2007. "Calculating the Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate of the Macedonian Denar," MPRA Paper 43161, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate; euro area; labor market; zloty; ERM II; Poland;

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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