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Les deficits courants des PECO : quelles implications pour leur entree dans l'Union europeenne et la zone euro ?


  • Nicolas Doisy
  • Karine Herve


De l'adhesion prochaine de huit PECO a l'Union europeenne s'ensuivra, a plus ou moins breve echeance, leur entree dans la zone euro. Les deficits courants de ces pays sont analyses dans cette perspective afin, en particulier, d'evaluer la necessite et la possibilite de quantifier le critere qualitatif correspondant contenu dans le traite de Maastricht. Des soldes courants de reference sont estimes au moyen de l'application d'une contrainte de solvabilite et de l'analyse econometrique de l'influence des determinants identifiables de l'equilibre epargne-investissement.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolas Doisy & Karine Herve, 2003. "Les deficits courants des PECO : quelles implications pour leur entree dans l'Union europeenne et la zone euro ?," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 93, pages 59-88.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2003-1tc

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Lewis, Jeffrey D. & Robinson, Sherman & Wang, Zhi, 1995. "Beyond the Uruguay Round: The implications of an Asian free trade area," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 35-90.
    2. Robinson, Sherman & Thierfelder, Karen, 2002. "Trade liberalisation and regional integration: the search for large numbers," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 46(4), December.
    3. Diaz-Bonilla, Eugenio & Thomas, Marcelle & Robinson, Sherman & Cattaneo, Andrea, 2000. "Food security and trade negotiations in the World Trade Organization," TMD discussion papers 59, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Robinson, Sherman, 1991. "Macroeconomics, financial variables, and computable general equilibrium models," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 19(11), pages 1509-1525, November.
    5. Mary E. Burfisher & Sherman Robinson & Karen Thierfelder, 2001. "The Impact of NAFTA on the United States," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(1), pages 125-144, Winter.
    6. Hinojosa-Ojeda, Raul A. & Robinson, Sherman & Lewis, Jeffrey D., 1995. "Regional integration options for Central America and the Caribbean after NAFTA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 121-148.
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    Cited by:

    1. Balázs Égert & László Halpern & Ronald MacDonald, 2006. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies: Taking Stock of the Issues ," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 257-324, April.
    2. Égert, Balázs, 2004. "Assessing equilibrium exchange rates in CEE acceding countries : can we have DEER with BEER without FEER? : A critical survey of the literature," BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2004, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    3. repec:onb:oenbwp:y::i:106:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item


    Comptes courants; pays d'Europe centrale et orientale; elargissement de l'Union europeenne et de la Zone euro;

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • P26 - Economic Systems - - Socialist Systems and Transition Economies - - - Political Economy


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