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Dette publique et investissements prives : le cas de la Turquie

Author

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  • Burak Gürbüz
  • Marc Raffinot

Abstract

L'effet de la dette sur l'investissement prive est theoriquement indetermine. En effet, selon la theorie, le lien entre la dette et l'investissement prive peut aussi bien etre negatif (effet d'eviction) que positif (effet accelerateur sur la croissance economique et donc sur l'investissement prive). Cet article consiste a identifier la nature de ce lien dans le cas de la Turquie sur la periode 1963-2000. Il estime cette relation sur deux periodes : 1963-98 et 1988-2000, compte tenu du developpement d'un marche financier domestique qui a permis de remplacer en partie la dette publique exterieure par une dette interieure. Ces estimations donnent deux effets distincts : la dette externe a un effet positif sur les investissements prives, tandis que la dette interne exerce un effet d'eviction.

Suggested Citation

  • Burak Gürbüz & Marc Raffinot, 2001. "Dette publique et investissements prives : le cas de la Turquie," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 86, pages 125-142.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2001-2tf
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    File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/IE/ei.asp?issue=86
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Turquie; dette; investissement;

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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