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Kurzfassung Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2020: Wirtschaft unter Schock – Finanzpolitik hält dagegen

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  • Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose

Abstract

Die Konjunktur in Deutschland bricht als Folge der Corona-Pandemie drastisch ein. Um die Infektionswelle abzubremsen, hat der Staat die wirtschaftliche Aktivität in Deutschland stark eingeschränkt. Deshalb dürfte das Bruttoinlandsprodukt in diesem Jahr um 4,2% schrumpfen. Die Rezession hinterlässt deutliche Spuren auf dem Arbeitsmarkt und im Staatshaushalt. In der Spitze wird die Arbeitslosenquote auf 5,9% und die Zahl der Kurzarbeiter auf 2,4 Millionen hochschnellen. Nach dem Shutdown wird sich die Konjunktur schrittweise erholen. Entsprechend fällt der Anstieg des Bruttoinlandsprodukts im kommenden Jahr mit 5,8% kräftig aus.

Suggested Citation

  • Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2020. "Kurzfassung Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2020: Wirtschaft unter Schock – Finanzpolitik hält dagegen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(04), pages 52-55, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:73:y:2020:i:04:p:52-55
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Konjunktur; Öffentlicher Haushalt; Öffentliche Schulden; Arbeitsmarkt; Epidemie; Rezession; Finanzpolitik; Frühindikator; Deutschland; Welt;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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