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Schweden: Konjunktur im Aufwind von Export und Inlandsnachfrage

  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze
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    Das schwedische Wirtschaftswachstum wies 2003 moderat aufwärts, obwohl auch hier der Irak-Krieg und der starke Ölpreisanstieg im Frühjahr gebremst haben. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt nahm um 1½% und damit stärker als der westeuropäische Durchschnitt zu. Auf dem Arbeitsmarkt verschlechterte sich die Lage deutlich, die Arbeitslosenquote erhöhte sich im Jahresdurchschnitt auf 5½%. Die Lebenshaltungskosten stiegen um 2,3%. 2004 dürfte das reale BIP nur um etwa 2¼% expandieren. Die Arbeitslosenquote wird sich im Schnitt des Jahres auf 53/4% erhöhen, und die Konsumentenpreise werden um 1½% über dem Niveau von 2003 liegen. 2005 dürfte das reale BIP um annähernd 2¾% steigen. Die Arbeitslosenquote wird auf 5½% sinken und die Preissteigerung annähernd 2% betragen.

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    Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 57 (2004)
    Issue (Month): 04 (02)
    Pages: 24-32

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:57:y:2004:i:04:p:24-32
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