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Portugal: Per aspera ad astra - folgt der Durststrecke eine längere Phase kräftigen Wirtschaftswachstums?

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  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze
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    2002 dürfte das portugiesische Bruttoinlandsprodukt nur etwa dem Volumen des Jahres 2001 entsprochen haben. Die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt wurde ungünstiger und die Arbeitslosigkeit nahm gegen Jahresende sprunghaft zu (5% im Jahresdurchschnitt). Die Konsumentenpreise lagen um 3,7% über dem Niveau von 2001. Auch in diesem Jahr steckt Portugal weiter in der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Konsolidierungsphase. Das reale BIP dürfte um ½% zurückgehen, die Arbeitslosenquote im Jahresdurchschnitt auf 6½% steigen, und die Konsumentenpreise erhöhen sich um 3½%. 2004 dürfte die Wirtschaft um ungefähr 1½% wachsen. Die Arbeitslosenquote dürfte im Jahresdurchschnitt bei 6¾% liegen, und die Lebenshaltungskosen werden sich um 2¾% erhöhen.

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    Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 56 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 05 (03)
    Pages: 56-64

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:56:y:2003:i:05:p:56-64
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