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Norwegen: Konjunktur bald wieder am Rande der Überhitzung?

Listed author(s):
  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze
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    Norwegen hat die weltwirtschaftliche Flaute glimpflich überstanden. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt erhöhte sich 2001 um 1,4%. Die Arbeitslosenquote schwankte im Verlauf des Jahres nur wenig und belief sich im Jahresdurchschnitt auf 3,6%, was praktisch Vollbeschäftigung bedeutet. Die Verbraucherpreise lagen um 3% über dem Niveau des Jahres 2000. 2002 dürfte sich das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt um etwa 1¼% erhöhen. Auf dem Arbeitsmarkt bleibt die Lage sehr günstig, die Arbeitslosenquote dürfte im Jahresdurchschnitt 3¾% betragen. Die Konsumentenpreise werden nur um wenig mehr als 1% steigen. 2003 wird das BIP um etwa 2¼% zunehmen. Die Arbeitslosenquote wird auf das Niveau von knapp 3¾% leicht sinken und die Teuerungsrate etwa 2½% erreichen.

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    Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 55 (2002)
    Issue (Month): 16 (August)
    Pages: 45-51

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:55:y:2002:i:16:p:45-51
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