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Spanien: Neuer Aufschwung, aber keine neue Konjunkturfiesta

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  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze
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    2001 wuchs die spanische Wirtschaft mit 2,8% im EU-Vergleich überdurchschnittlich, so dass das Land seinen Konvergenzprozess zu den EU-Ländern fortsetzen konnte. Die Teuerungsrate erreichte mit 3,7% ihren seit Mitte der neunziger Jahre höchsten Wert. Die Arbeitslosenquote blieb, trotz ihrer jahresdurchschnittlichen Verringerung auf 13%, die höchste innerhalb Westeuropas. 2002 wird das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt voraussichtlich um knapp 2% zunehmen. Die Arbeitslosenquote dürfte im Jahresdurchschnitt auf 131/2% steigen, und erst in der zweiten Jahreshälfte wird es auf dem Arbeitsmarkt zu einer Verbesserung kommen. Die Konsumentenpreise erhöhen sich um reichlich 21/2%. 2003 dürfte die Wirtschaft um ungefähr 3% wachsen. Die Arbeitslosenquote dürfte auf 121/2% sinken und die Preise das Niveau von 2002 um 23/4% übersteigen.

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    Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 55 (2002)
    Issue (Month): 06 (March)
    Pages: 34-41

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:55:y:2002:i:06:p:34-41
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