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Nur moderates Wachstum der Bauwirtschaft in diesem Jahrzehnt

Author

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  • Erich Gluch

Abstract

Nach der ersten gesamtdeutschen Bauvorausschätzung, die das ifo Institut für die nächsten zehn Jahre erstellt hat, dürfte die Baunachfrage keinen Grund zur Euphorie geben, denn das durchschnittliche reale Wachstum wird pro Jahr nicht einmal 1% betragen. Bereits 2003 wird jedoch das reale Bauvolumen - nach Erreichen des Tiefpunkts in diesem Jahr - um 1 1/2 bis 2% zulegen. Im Wohnungsbau werden die Fertigstellungen ab dem nächsten Jahr wieder ansteigen und 2006 rund 400 000 Wohneinheiten erreichen. Danach wird die Wohnungsproduktion wieder leicht abnehmen. Im Nichtwohnbau wird sich die Nachfrage im Wirtschaftsbau günstiger als im öffentlichen Bau entwickeln.

Suggested Citation

  • Erich Gluch, 2002. "Nur moderates Wachstum der Bauwirtschaft in diesem Jahrzehnt," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(05), pages 32-38, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:55:y:2002:i:05:p:32-38
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Volker Rußig, 2002. "Bautätigkeit in Europa: Nach der Flaute wieder deutlich höhere Wachstumsbeiträge," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(14), pages 27-36, July.
    2. Erich Gluch, 2004. "Stabilisierung der Nachfrage nach Wohnungen auf niedrigem Niveau," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(04), pages 11-17, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Branchenentwicklung; Bauwirtschaft; Baukonjunktur; Deutschland;

    JEL classification:

    • L74 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Construction
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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