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ifo Konjunkturtest und Aktienmarkt


  • Gernot Nerb


  • Kurt Stock


Die Entwicklung der Aktienkurse hängt stark von den Gewinnaussichten der börsennotierten Unternehmen ab. Die Ergebnisse des ifo Konjunkturtests eignen sich erwiesenermaßen sehr gut zur Vorausschätzung der Absatz- und Ertragsentwicklung. Es bietet sich daher an, die erprobten Konjunkturindikatoren, zusammen mit anderen Variablen, zur Erklärung und Prognose von Aktienkursschwankungen heranzuziehen. Die empirischen Untersuchungen zeigen, daß insbesondere die Geschäftserwartungen aus dem ifo Konjunkturtest einen wichtigen Beitrag zur Finanzmarktanalyse und -prognose leisten können.

Suggested Citation

  • Gernot Nerb & Kurt Stock, 1999. "ifo Konjunkturtest und Aktienmarkt," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 52(15), pages 03-09, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:52:y:1999:i:15:p:03-09

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