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Japan: Bankenkrise behindert Konjunkturerholung

Listed author(s):
  • Hanns-Günther Hilpert
Registered author(s):

    Japans Wirtschaft ist nicht nur von einer Bankenkrise betroffen, sondern durchläuft derzeit auch die tiefste Rezession der Nachkriegszeit. Im Kalenderjahr 1998 dürfte das Niveau des japanischen Bruttoinlandsprodukts (BIP) um mindestens 2,5% gesunken sein. Das Tankan-Geschäftsklima erreichte am Jahresende 1998 einen historischen Tiefstand. Die Arbeitslosenquote hat mit 4,3% ein Rekordniveau erreicht. Die Baisse-Stimmung an der Tokioter Aktienbörse und an den Grundstücks- und Immobilienmärkten ist ungebrochen. Angesichts der konjunkturell angespannten Lage und der Vielzahl ungelöster Strukturprobleme erwartet die Mehrzahl der Prognostiker, daß das BIP 1999 erneut sinkt und die wirtschaftliche Stagnation auch mittel- bis langfristig anhält.

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    Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 52 (1999)
    Issue (Month): 08 (October)
    Pages: 26-32

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:52:y:1999:i:08:p:26-32
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