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AIECE-Prognose : Weltrohstoffpreise 1999/2000

Listed author(s):
  • Hans-Dieter Karl

Die Arbeitsgruppe Rohstoffpreise der Vereinigung Europäischer Konjunkturforschungsinstitute (AIECE) kam Ende September zu dem Ergebnis, daß das Rohstoffpreisniveau, gemessen am HWWA-Index auf Dollarbasis im Durchschnitt des Jahres 1998 kräfitg gesunken ist. Prognostiziert wurde für 1998 ein Rückgang insgesamt um 21% und für 1999 wird mit einer leichten Erholung (+1%) gerechnet. Die Entwicklung wird sehr stark von der Bewegung des Rohölpreises geprägt, der ein Gewicht von 55,5% im Gesamtindex hat. Unter Ausschluß der Energierohstoffe schätzen die Institute für dieses Jahr einen Preisrückgang um 13%, für 1999 erwarten sie, daß die Notierungen, auf Dollarbasis, nochmals um 5% nachgeben.

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Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 51 (1998)
Issue (Month): 31 (October)
Pages: 08-15

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:51:y:1998:i:31:p:08-15
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