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AIECE-Prognose : Weltrohstoffpreise 1999

Listed author(s):
  • Hans-Dieter Karl

Die Arbeitsgruppe Rohstoffpreise der Vereinigung europäischer Konjunkturforschungsinstitute (AIECE) hat sich Anfang April in München mit der Entwicklung der internationalen Rohstoffpreise befaßt. Unter der Annahme, daß das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt der OECD-Länder 1998 und 1999 jeweils um 2,3% wächst, der Welthandel, der 1997 um 9,2% expandierte, in beiden Prognosejahren um 7,5% zunimmt, und der Kurs des US-Dollar sich etwa bei 1,80 DM stabilisiert, rechnet die Gruppe damit, daß die Rohstoffpreise in diesem Jahr - aufgrund des starken Rückgangs der Rohölpreise - um 16% sinken und 1999 wieder um 5% steigen werden.

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Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 51 (1998)
Issue (Month): 13 (October)
Pages: 16-22

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:51:y:1998:i:13:p:16-22
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