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AIECE-Prognose : Weltrohstoffpreise 1999


  • Hans-Dieter Karl


Die Arbeitsgruppe Rohstoffpreise der Vereinigung europäischer Konjunkturforschungsinstitute (AIECE) hat sich Anfang April in München mit der Entwicklung der internationalen Rohstoffpreise befaßt. Unter der Annahme, daß das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt der OECD-Länder 1998 und 1999 jeweils um 2,3% wächst, der Welthandel, der 1997 um 9,2% expandierte, in beiden Prognosejahren um 7,5% zunimmt, und der Kurs des US-Dollar sich etwa bei 1,80 DM stabilisiert, rechnet die Gruppe damit, daß die Rohstoffpreise in diesem Jahr - aufgrund des starken Rückgangs der Rohölpreise - um 16% sinken und 1999 wieder um 5% steigen werden.

Suggested Citation

  • Hans-Dieter Karl, 1998. "AIECE-Prognose : Weltrohstoffpreise 1999," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 51(13), pages 16-22, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:51:y:1998:i:13:p:16-22

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    Welt; Rohstoffpreis;


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