IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifosdt/v45y1992i09p08-21.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Bevölkerungszustrom, EG-Binnenmarkt und Ostöffnung prägen die langfristige Verkehrsentwicklung

Author

Listed:
  • Werner Hahn
  • Ralf Ratzenberger

Abstract

Die Prognose kommt zu dem Ergebnis, daß das gesamte Personenverkehrsaufkommen - ohne Luftverkehr und nicht motorisierten Verkehr - zwischen 1990 und 2005 in Westdeutschland um 12% und in Bayern um 15% steigt. Die Expansion wird fast ausschließlich vom Individualverkehr getragen. Der Güterverkehr wird vom Europäischen Binnenmarkt, von der Deutschen Vereinigung und von der Öffnung Osteuropas angeregt. Die im Fernverkehr beförderten Gütermengen werden in Bayern von 1990 bis 2005 um 64% zunehmen, in Westdeutschland dagegen nur um 45%. Da Eisenbahn und Binnenschiffahrt an dem Zuwachs nahezu proportional partizipieren, wird der Anteil der Straße an der Transportleistung des gesamten Güterfernverkehrs im Prognosezeitraum nicht weiter steigen, sondern sogar leicht sinken.

Suggested Citation

  • Werner Hahn & Ralf Ratzenberger, 1992. "Bevölkerungszustrom, EG-Binnenmarkt und Ostöffnung prägen die langfristige Verkehrsentwicklung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 45(09), pages 08-21, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:45:y:1992:i:09:p:08-21
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:45:y:1992:i:09:p:08-21. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.