IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifodre/v07y2000i06p6-11.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Gesamtwirtschaftliche Perspektiven fuer Deutschland

Author

Listed:
  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

    ()

Abstract

Nach dem "Herbstgutachten" der fuehrenden Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute dominieren bis zum Jahresende die Effekte des Oelpreisschocks, welche vor allem die Binnennachfrage daempfen. Der Export wird noch von der Abwertung des Euro profitieren. Die retardierenden Effekte des Oelpreisanstiegs werden zwar im Laufe des Jahres 2001 nachlassen, dann kommen aber die Beschleunigung der Weltkonjunktur sowie die straffere Geldpolitik mehr zum Tragen. Ueberlagert wird dies von kraeftigen Inpulsen der Finanzpolitik, die in der ersten Jahreshaelfte 2001 sogar zu einer voruebergehenden Beschlaeunigung der konjunkturellen Expansion fuehrt. Der Anstieg des Bruttoinlandsprodukts wird sich 2001 auf 2,7% verringern, nach 3,0% im Jahr 2000. Bei geringfuegig steigenden Lohnstueckkosten wird die Inflationsrate im Laufe des kommenden Jahres wieder deutlich unter 2% sinken.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2000. "Gesamtwirtschaftliche Perspektiven fuer Deutschland," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 7(06), pages 6-11, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:07:y:2000:i:06:p:6-11
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Other versions of this item:

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Deutschland; Konjunktur; Sozialprodukt; Beschaeftigung;

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:07:y:2000:i:06:p:6-11. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Klaus Wohlrabe). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.