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Revealed preferences for macroeconomic stabilization

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Abstract

In the new Keynesian model of endogenous stabilization governments have objectives with respect to macroeconomic performance, but are constrained by an augmented Phillips curve. Because they react more quickly to inflation shocks than private agents, governments can lean against the macroeconomic wind. We develop an econometric test of this characterization of the political-economic equilibrium. Applying this methodology to a variety of quadratic social welfare functions provides inferences about the functional form of stabilization preferences and about the formation of expectations.

Suggested Citation

  • David Kiefer, 2008. "Revealed preferences for macroeconomic stabilization," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 11, pages 119-143, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:cem:jaecon:v:11:y:2008:n:1:p:119-143
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    File URL: https://ucema.edu.ar/publicaciones/download/volume11/kiefer.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. David Kiefer, 2016. "Policy effectiveness is limited by a flat Phillips curve, stabilization as practiced in Europe and the US," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2016_03, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    2. Kiefer, David, 2015. "Targets and lags in a two-equation model of US stabilization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 18-24.
    3. David Kiefer, 2013. "Are governments able to lean against the macroeconomic wind?," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2013_14, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    4. David Kiefer, 2011. "Stabilization and expectations in a state space model of interconnected economies, a dynamic panel study," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2011_15, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    5. David Kiefer, 2011. "Targets, Policy Lags and Sticky Prices in a Two-Equation Model of US Stabilization Policy," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2011_03, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    6. David Kiefer, 2008. "New Keynesian Endogenous Stabilization in a Panel of Countries," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2008_19, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    7. David Kiefer, 2016. "Policy effectiveness is limited by a flat Phillips curve, stabilization as practiced in Europe and the US," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2016_3, University of Utah, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    endogenous stabilization; policy objectives; adaptive expectations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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