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The Effect Of Economic Development On Public Debt: Empirical Evidence From Romania, Croatia And Bulgaria

Author

Listed:
  • Onofrei Mihaela

    (ALEXANDRU I CUZA UNIVERSITY OF IASI, ROMANIA, FINANCE DEPARTMENT)

  • Strachinaru Alin Vasile

    (ALEXANDRU I CUZA UNIVERSITY OF IASI, ROMANIA, DOMAIN FINANCE)

Abstract

Given the current socio-economic and political context (financial crisis, pandemic situation, socio-political conflicts etc.) some similar countries, from economic development point of view, such Romania, Bulgaria and Croatia have encountered difficulties in managing macroeconomic indicators with a pronounced impact on the public debt. The study captures an economic overview of this three countries, for years 2009 - 2021, with a quarterly frequency, by finding appropriate measures for recovery and sustainable development in the medium and long term. As an analysis tool, V A R - Vector Autoregression Model analyzes the correlation between public debt and gross domestic product, continuing with those macroeconomic indicators which have an significant impact on public debt (gross domestic product, unemployment, investments, house price index).

Suggested Citation

  • Onofrei Mihaela & Strachinaru Alin Vasile, 2023. "The Effect Of Economic Development On Public Debt: Empirical Evidence From Romania, Croatia And Bulgaria," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 2, pages 4-25, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:cbu:jrnlec:y:2023:v:2:p:4-25
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Viktor Mihaylov Dinev, 2016. "The Application Of Bulgaria For The Euro Area In The Context Of The Debt Crisis," Economics and Management, Faculty of Economics, SOUTH-WEST UNIVERSITY "NEOFIT RILSKI", BLAGOEVGRAD, vol. 12(2), pages 142-154.
    2. Di Domenico, Lorenzo, 2021. "Stability and determinants of the public debt-to-GDP ratio: an Input Output – Stock Flow Consistent approach," MPRA Paper 110460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Amarda Kadia, 2020. "Public Debt and Economic Growth in the Balkan Countries," European Journal of Economics and Business Studies Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 6, September.
    4. Di Domenico, Lorenzo, 2021. "Stability and determinants of the public debt-to-GDP ratio: an Input Output – Stock Flow Consistent approach," MPRA Paper 109970, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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