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Le rôle des stocks en sortie de crise : Une étude empirique sur données d'enquête

Listed author(s):
  • Frédérique Bec
  • Mélika Ben Salem
  • Marie Bessec

This paper explores the existence of a bounce-back effect in inventory investment using the European Community opinion survey on stocks of finished products in manufacturing. A threshold autoregression allowing for a transitory strong recovery phasis is estimated for French, German and European aggregate data from 1985q1 to 2011q4. The results support the existence of a high recovery episode for inventory investment during the quarters immediately following the recessions. This could in turn explain the real GDP growth rate bounce-back pointed out in previous empirical studies.

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Article provided by Dalloz in its journal Revue d'économie politique.

Volume (Year): 122 (2012)
Issue (Month): 6 ()
Pages: 811-822

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Handle: RePEc:cai:repdal:redp_226_0811
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-d-economie-politique.htm

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