IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

L'avenir démographique des pays du Sud. Les certitudes et les interrogations


  • Gilles Pison


It is projected that the world population will increase by one-third before the end of this century, primarily in the South. Population projections are based on the demographic transition model which quite accurately explains the changes observed in Asia, Latin America ansd Africa over the last fifty years. Sub-Saharan Africa, the region where transition is least advanced, is also the region where future trends are most difficult to predict. Its population should triple or even quadruple over the coming century, despite the ravages of AIDS. One of the challenges facing the South will be to manage the effects of population ageing, which will occur much more quickly than in the North. Code JEL : J11

Suggested Citation

  • Gilles Pison, 2008. "L'avenir démographique des pays du Sud. Les certitudes et les interrogations," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 59(5), pages 869-891.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_595_0869

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: free

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: free

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_595_0869. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.