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ODA and Financial Inclusion: How is the Impact Transmitted in MENA Countries?

Author

Listed:
  • Ben Moussa Wided

    (Esprit School of Business, Ariana, Tunisia)

  • Troudi Marwa

    (Esprit School of Business, Ariana, Tunisia)

Abstract

This study explores the effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) and official development assistance (ODA) on financial inclusion across MENA countries from 1960 to 2023. Using a VAR model, we compute impulse response functions and variance decompositions. The findings show that, for most countries, FDI and ODA have minimal and short-lived effects on financial inclusion. However, Lebanon stands as an exception: financial inclusion (specifically FI_2) responds significantly and positively to an FDI shock, and the effect is more persistent compared to other countries. Variance decomposition further indicates that FDI shocks contribute the most to the forecast error variance of financial inclusion in Lebanon, highlighting the relatively stronger role of FDI in shaping its financial inclusion dynamics. Overall, the limited influence of external financial flows elsewhere in the region suggests that they are insufficient for sustained improvements in financial inclusion. Instead, domestic factors remain critical, as evidenced by the strong and stabilizing response of financial inclusion to its own shocks. These results underscore the need for internal resilience and tailored national policies to effectively enhance financial inclusion across MENA countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Ben Moussa Wided & Troudi Marwa, 2025. "ODA and Financial Inclusion: How is the Impact Transmitted in MENA Countries?," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 21(3), pages 269-294.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:rmeecf:v:21:y:2025:i:3:p:269-294:n:1001
    DOI: 10.1515/rmeef-2025-0004
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F35 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Aid
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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