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Will the US Protect Taiwan in Case of Chinese Military Aggression?

Author

Listed:
  • Schnabl Gunther

    (Flossbach von Storch Research Institute, Leipzig, Germany)

  • Wöller Roland

    (Fellow at the Kissinger Chair for Governance and International Security, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany)

Abstract

Taiwan has been threatened by China for decades without a clear guarantee of protection from the United States. China’s anaconda strategy has contributed to a peak performance in Taiwan’s semiconductor technology which not only protects Taiwan by increasing the probability for protection by the United States. The shift of high-performance semiconductor production from Taiwan to the United States is unfeasible, because the necessary climate of threat cannot be reproduced there. Even more, diversifying Taiwan’s semiconductor production geographically would be undesirable, because geopolitical instability would rise.

Suggested Citation

  • Schnabl Gunther & Wöller Roland, 2025. "Will the US Protect Taiwan in Case of Chinese Military Aggression?," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 311-317.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:evoice:v:22:y:2025:i:2:p:311-317:n:1011
    DOI: 10.1515/ev-2025-0034
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    JEL classification:

    • B25 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Historical; Institutional; Evolutionary; Austrian; Stockholm School
    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives

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