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Inversión extranjera directa e implicancias macroeconómicas: Evidencia empírica para Bolivia

Author

Listed:
  • Pablo Cachaga Herrera

    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

Abstract

El presente documento de investigación tiene como objetivo analizar los efectos individuales de la Inversión Extranjera Directa (IED) primaria, secundaria y terciaria sobre las principales variables macroeconómicas, como el Producto Interno Bruto, inversión privada, inversión pública, exportaciones tradicionales y no tradicionales, importaciones de bienes de capital y materias primas, y por último, respecto al empleo del sector privado. Se utilizan datos trimestrales para el periodo 2000 – 2016 y la metodología SVAR para capturar los efectos dinámicos. Los resultados encontrados muestran que la IED del sector primario es la más importante para el crecimiento del PIB debido a que ésta aumenta las exportaciones en volumen, pero también aumenta las importaciones de bienes de capital, aunque el efecto neto sobre el producto es positivo. No obstante, uno de los hallazgos más relevantes es que todas las formas de IED (primaria, secundaria y terciaria) aumentan el empleo en el sector privado.

Suggested Citation

  • Pablo Cachaga Herrera, 2019. "Inversión extranjera directa e implicancias macroeconómicas: Evidencia empírica para Bolivia," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, vol. 31(2), pages 15-64, July - De.
    • Handle: RePEc:blv:journl:v:31:y:2019:i:1:p:15-64
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inversión extranjera directa; actividad económica; empleo y modelo SVAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business

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