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Análisis de los efectos de la inflación en el crecimiento económico: evidencia para la economía boliviana

Author

Listed:
  • Gualberto Zubieta Huaygua

    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

Abstract

En el presente trabajo se analiza la relación entre la inflación y el crecimiento económico en Bolivia durante el período 1970-2013, tomando como marco de referencia la teoría de los ciclos económicos. Aplicando los modelos VAR, se ha estimado un sistema, incluyendo múltiples cambios estructurales que fueron observados y testeados en las series. Del análisis se concluye que, de acuerdo a la evidencia, existe una relación negativa entre la inflación y el crecimiento económico. Además, se ha revisado la importancia de la política monetaria del Banco Central en la consecución de una inflación baja y un crecimiento económico alto.

Suggested Citation

  • Gualberto Zubieta Huaygua, 2016. "Análisis de los efectos de la inflación en el crecimiento económico: evidencia para la economía boliviana," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, vol. 24(1), pages 9-47, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:blv:journl:v:24:y:2016:i:1:p:9-47
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    VAR; estacionariedad; inflación y crecimiento económico;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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