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A Dynamic Analysis of Exchange Rate Exposure: The impact of China's Renminbi


  • Pei-Fen Chen
  • Chien-Chiang Lee
  • Chi-Chuan Lee
  • Jing-Xuan Huang


type="main" xml:id="twec12365-abs-0001"> This study examines the impacts of unexpected exchange rate movements of Chinese renminbi (CNY/USD) on stock returns of Standard & Poor's 500 corporations. To gain better insight into the long-standing exposure puzzle concerning the divergence between theoretical and empirical investigation and the critical issue regarding the determinants of exposure, the time variation and asymmetry property associated with foreign exchange exposure are further taking into account. We also broaden the scope of analysis to investigate unexpected risk exposure at 10 economic sectors in compliance with Global Industry Classification Standard. Unlike those from the static analysis or dynamic ones with the ordinary least squares model, the empirical findings provide additional concrete evidence that unexpected exchange rate exposure varies substantially across time and market circumstances when using the quantile regression with a rolling method. Furthermore, our dynamic analysis not only supports the existence of industrial effects across different economic sectors, but also provides strong evidence that financial factors, such as size, debt ratio and book to market ratio, have a significant impact on exposure.

Suggested Citation

  • Pei-Fen Chen & Chien-Chiang Lee & Chi-Chuan Lee & Jing-Xuan Huang, 2016. "A Dynamic Analysis of Exchange Rate Exposure: The impact of China's Renminbi," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(1), pages 132-157, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:39:y:2016:i:1:p:132-157

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    Cited by:

    1. Zakiya Begum Sayed & J. Gayathri, 2023. "Factors Determining the Exchange Rate Exposure of Firms: Evidence from India," Business Perspectives and Research, , vol. 11(2), pages 210-226, May.
    2. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Ning, Shaolin & Hsieh, Meng-Fen & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2020. "The going-public decision and rent-seeking activities: Evidence from Chinese private companies," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(1).
    3. Tie‐Ying Liu & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2022. "Exchange rate fluctuations and interest rate policy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3531-3549, July.
    4. Charline Uwilingiyimana & Abdou Kâ Diongue, 2020. "Rwanda Currency Market Risk Analysis: Evidence From Asymmetry Effects," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 9(2), pages 1-2.
    5. Abdorasoul Sadeghi & Hussein Marzban & Ali Hussein Samadi & Karim Azarbaiejani & Parviz Rostamzadeh, 2022. "Financial intermediaries and speculation in the foreign exchange market: the role of monetary policy in Iran’s economy," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, December.

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