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Consumer Welfare Under the Adjustable‐Rate Mortgage: Some Empirical Evidence

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  • J. Sa‐Aadu

Abstract

The theoretical literature on the economics of mortgage choice holds that consumer‐borrower preference for the ARM depends largely on the FRM‐ARM rate differential. However, there is no empirical evidence as to whether consumers are better off, worse off, or left indifferent with the choice of the ARM relative to the alternative FRM. This paper estimates the windfall gain or loss induced by the FRM‐ARM rate differential in a multiperiod setting. The major results are as follows: (1) on the average consumer‐borrowers reap windfall gain from the use of ARM, (2) but some individual consumers had windfall loss, (3) consumers with ARMs that have periodic interest‐rate caps have significantly higher windfall gain than consumers whose ARMs have no periodic rate caps, and (4) the level of the windfall gain (loss) appears to be correlated with the slope of the yield curve and the level of interest rate.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Sa‐Aadu, 1987. "Consumer Welfare Under the Adjustable‐Rate Mortgage: Some Empirical Evidence," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 15(3), pages 132-151, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:15:y:1987:i:3:p:132-151
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.00424
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    Cited by:

    1. Yao-Min Chiang & Jarjisu Sa-Aadu, 2014. "Optimal Mortgage Contract Choice Decision in the Presence of Pay Option Adjustable Rate Mortgage and the Balloon Mortgage," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 709-753, May.
    2. Stephen F. Thode, 2000. "CMOs, Duration Risk and a New Mortgage," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 19(1), pages 73-103.

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