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Two or Three Children? Turkish Fertility at a Crossroads

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  • Angela Greulich
  • Aurélien Dasre
  • Ceren Inan

Abstract

In Turkey, female employment and education are still relatively low, while fertility levels are high compared to other European countries. However, Turkey stands on the brink of an important social transition. Increasing female education and employment are being accompanied by important decreases in fertility. By mobilizing census and survey data (SILC), we find that parents' decision for or against a third child is of particular importance for fertility levels in Turkey. Graduate women participating in the formal labor market are most likely to decide against larger family size in comparison to inactive or unemployed women. Their contribution to household income seems to be important and cannot be given up, especially if the couple already has two children. Policies enabling women to combine work and family life, which have been proven effective in other European countries, emerge therefore as useful to avoid fertility declining below replacement levels in Turkey.
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Suggested Citation

  • Angela Greulich & Aurélien Dasre & Ceren Inan, 2016. "Two or Three Children? Turkish Fertility at a Crossroads," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 42(3), pages 537-559, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:popdev:v:42:y:2016:i:3:p:537-559
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/padr.2016.42.issue-3
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    Cited by:

    1. Abbasoglu Ozgoren, Ayse & Ergöçmen, Banu & Tansel, Aysit, 2017. "Birth and Employment Transitions of Women in Turkey: Conflicting or Compatible Roles?," IZA Discussion Papers 11238, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Aurélien Dasre & Angela Greulich & Inan Ceren, 2017. "Combating domestic violence against women in Turkey. The role of women's economic empowerment," Post-Print halshs-01660703, HAL.
    3. Konstantin Kazenin & Vladimir Kozlov, 2023. "Ethnicity and fertility of descendants of rural-to-urban migrants: the case of Daghestan (North Caucasus)," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 69-93, March.
    4. Janna Bergsvik, 2019. "Linking neighbors’ fertility. Third births in Norwegian neighborhoods," Discussion Papers 898, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    5. Aurélien Dasre & Angela Greulich & Inan Ceren, 2017. "Combating domestic violence against women in Turkey. The role of women's economic empowerment," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01660703, HAL.
    6. Angela Greulich & Aurélien Dasré, 2022. "The association between women’s economic participation and physical and/or sexual domestic violence against women: A case study for Turkey [Le lien entre violence domestique et emploi en Turquie]," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03959678, HAL.
    7. Aurélien Dasré & Angela Greulich & Ceren Inan, 2017. "Combating domestic violence against women in Turkey. The role of women's economic empowerment," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 17052, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    8. Angela Greulich & Aurélien Dasré, 2022. "The association between women’s economic participation and physical and/or sexual domestic violence against women: A case study for Turkey [Le lien entre violence domestique et emploi en Turquie]," Post-Print hal-03959678, HAL.
    9. Ayse Abbasoglu Ozgoren & A. Banu Ergöçmen & Aysıt Tansel, 2018. "Birth and employment transitions of women in Turkey: The emergence of role incompatibility," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 39(46), pages 1241-1290.
    10. Nadja Milewski & Helen Baykara-Krumme, 2023. "Fertility Behavior of Turkish Migrant Men in Europe Compared to Stayers at Origin," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 115-136, March.
    11. Elena Ambrosetti & Aurora Angeli & Marco Novelli, 2021. "Childbearing intentions among Egyptian men and women: The role of gender-equitable attitudes and women’s empowerment," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 44(51), pages 1229-1270.

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