IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/obuest/v81y2019i1p1-19.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

What if they had not Gone Negative? A Counterfactual Assessment of the Impact from Negative Interest Rates

Author

Listed:
  • Nektarios A. Michail

Abstract

The counterfactual estimation technique of Pesaran and Smith () is employed to provide an assessment of the impact stemming from the implementation of negative interest rates in three European economies (Denmark, Sweden and Switzerland). The analysis indicates that negative interest rates did not have a significant effect on bank lending growth or inflation in any country. This failure to reject the policy ineffectiveness hypothesis most likely lies in the fact that negative interest rates did not ease the situation for the factors restricting the supply of bank lending, namely bank funding costs and Return‐on‐Equity.

Suggested Citation

  • Nektarios A. Michail, 2019. "What if they had not Gone Negative? A Counterfactual Assessment of the Impact from Negative Interest Rates," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(1), pages 1-19, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:81:y:2019:i:1:p:1-19
    DOI: 10.1111/obes.12251
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12251
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/obes.12251?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Durrani, Agha & Metzler, Julian & Michail, Nektarios & Werner, Johannes Gabriel, 2022. "Bank lending rates and the remuneration for risk: evidence from portfolio and loan level data," Working Paper Series 2753, European Central Bank.
    2. Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "Is the negative interest rate policy effective?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 75-86.
    3. Nektarios Michail & Agorasti Patronidou & Ioanna Evangelou, 2021. "Does Household Behaviour Depend on Monetary Policy? Evidence from Cyprus," Working Papers 2021-01, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    4. Joscha Beckmann & Klaus-Jürgen Gern & Nils Jannsen, 2022. "Should they stay or should they go? Negative interest rate policies under review," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 885-912, October.
    5. Nektarios A. Michail & Christos S. Savva & Demetris Koursaros, 2021. "Are central banks to blame? Monetary policy and bank lending behavior," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(4), pages 762-779, October.
    6. Satyam Kumar & Yelleti Vivek & Vadlamani Ravi & Indranil Bose, 2023. "Causal Inference for Banking Finance and Insurance A Survey," Papers 2307.16427, arXiv.org.
    7. Gerhard Rösl & Franz Seitz & Karl-Heinz Tödter, 2019. "The Cost of Overcoming the Zero Lower-Bound: A Welfare Analysis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-18, July.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:81:y:2019:i:1:p:1-19. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/sfeixuk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.