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Join to Prosper? An Empirical Analysis of EU Membership and Economic Growth

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  • Thomas Barnebeck Andersen
  • Mikkel Barslund
  • Pieter Vanhuysse

Abstract

We explore whether EU membership has led to faster economic growth. Using different estimation strategies, different time periods, different country samples, and different datasets, we are unable to demonstrate the presence of a membership growth premium. This may reflect that GDP data are too noisy and/or causal identification too complicated, in which case we should remain agnostic about the EU's growth impact. Alternatively, it may reflect that EU membership simply has no effect on economic growth. Either way, these findings urge strong caution about one of EU membership's key alleged benefits: greater economic prosperity.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Barnebeck Andersen & Mikkel Barslund & Pieter Vanhuysse, 2019. "Join to Prosper? An Empirical Analysis of EU Membership and Economic Growth," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(2), pages 211-238, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:kyklos:v:72:y:2019:i:2:p:211-238
    DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12200
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    Cited by:

    1. Fritz Breuss, 2020. "Makroökonomische Effekte der 25- jährigen EU-Mitgliedschaft Österreichs," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1-Q2/20, pages 27-48.
    2. Ivana Brkić & Nikola Gradojević & Svetlana Ignjatijević, 2020. "The Impact of Economic Freedom on Economic Growth? New European Dynamic Panel Evidence," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-13, February.
    3. Fritz Breuss, 2022. "In Search of the "Right" Integration Effects: From Complex to Simple Modeling," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 50(3), pages 99-118, December.
    4. Mitze, Timo & Breidenbach, Philipp, 2023. "The complex regional effects of macro-institutional shocks: Evidence from EU economic integration over three decades," Ruhr Economic Papers 1007, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    5. Fritz Breuss, 2021. "25 Years of Austria's EU Membership. Quantifying the Economic Benefits With a DSGE Model," WIFO Working Papers 603, WIFO.
    6. Fritz Breuss, 2021. "A Simple EU Model in EViews," WIFO Working Papers 638, WIFO.

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