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Estimating Markov Transition Probabilities from Micro‐Unit Data

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  • Lyndhurst Collins

Abstract

The standard method of deriving maximum‐likelihood estimates for transition probability matrices is outlined. Statistical tests for determining the Markov property, the specific order of a chain and the homogeneity of a set of matrices are applied to data relating to manufacturing establishments. Refinements to the maximum‐likelihood procedure are examined in the context of fractional disaggregation of long‐period matrices and in the framework of fitting smoothing surfaces to observed transition probabilities.

Suggested Citation

  • Lyndhurst Collins, 1974. "Estimating Markov Transition Probabilities from Micro‐Unit Data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 23(3), pages 355-371, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssc:v:23:y:1974:i:3:p:355-371
    DOI: 10.2307/2347128
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