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Will this paper ever be cited?

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  • Quentin L. Burrell

Abstract

A recently proposed stochastic model to describe the citation process in the presence of obsolescence is used to answer the question: If a paper has not been cited by time t after its publication, what is the probability that it will ever be cited?

Suggested Citation

  • Quentin L. Burrell, 2002. "Will this paper ever be cited?," Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 53(3), pages 232-235.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jamist:v:53:y:2002:i:3:p:232-235
    DOI: 10.1002/asi.10031
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    Cited by:

    1. Akella, Akhil Pandey & Alhoori, Hamed & Kondamudi, Pavan Ravikanth & Freeman, Cole & Zhou, Haiming, 2021. "Early indicators of scientific impact: Predicting citations with altmetrics," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2).
    2. Shengzhi Huang & Jiajia Qian & Yong Huang & Wei Lu & Yi Bu & Jinqing Yang & Qikai Cheng, 2022. "Disclosing the relationship between citation structure and future impact of a publication," Journal of the Association for Information Science & Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 73(7), pages 1025-1042, July.
    3. Saeed Samiee & Brian R. Chabowski, 2021. "Knowledge structure in product- and brand origin–related research," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 49(5), pages 947-968, September.
    4. Nair, Gopalan M. & Turlach, Berwin A., 2012. "The stochastic h-index," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 80-87.
    5. Wang, Mingyang & Yu, Guang & Xu, Jianzhong & He, Huixin & Yu, Daren & An, Shuang, 2012. "Development a case-based classifier for predicting highly cited papers," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 586-599.
    6. Isabel Basson & Jaco P. Blanckenberg & Heidi Prozesky, 2021. "Do open access journal articles experience a citation advantage? Results and methodological reflections of an application of multiple measures to an analysis by WoS subject areas," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(1), pages 459-484, January.
    7. Saralees Nadarajah & Samuel Kotz, 2007. "Models for citation behavior," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 72(2), pages 291-305, August.
    8. Burrell, Quentin L., 2013. "A stochastic approach to the relation between the impact factor and the uncitedness factor," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 676-682.
    9. Burrell, Quentin L., 2007. "Hirsch's h-index: A stochastic model," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 16-25.
    10. Zewen Hu & Yishan Wu & Jianjun Sun, 2018. "A quantitative analysis of determinants of non-citation using a panel data model," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 116(2), pages 843-861, August.
    11. Leo Egghe & Ronald Rousseau, 2012. "Theory and practice of the shifted Lotka function," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 91(1), pages 295-301, April.
    12. Chabowski, Brian R. & Samiee, Saeed, 2023. "A bibliometric examination of the literature on emerging market MNEs as the basis for future research," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 155(PB).
    13. Quentin L. Burrell, 2012. "Alternative thoughts on uncitedness," Journal of the Association for Information Science & Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 63(7), pages 1466-1470, July.
    14. Agnieszka Geras & Grzegorz Siudem & Marek Gagolewski, 2022. "Time to vote: Temporal clustering of user activity on Stack Overflow," Journal of the Association for Information Science & Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 73(12), pages 1681-1691, December.

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