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Factors Driving the Population Growth and Decline of Portuguese Cities

Author

Listed:
  • Ana Paula Barreira
  • Joaquim J. S. Ramalho
  • Thomas Panagopoulos
  • Maria Helena Guimarães

Abstract

Despite the worldwide trend of urbanisation, data reveal that some cities are growing whereas others are losing inhabitants. To assess such dynamics in Portuguese cities, demographic, employment, housing, and climate variables were analysed as possible drivers of population change for the period 1991–2011. Panel data models show that higher shares of employment in the secondary and tertiary sectors, higher maximum temperatures, and a higher proportion of middle†aged vacant houses act as pull factors attracting inhabitants, whereas a higher unemployment rate is a push factor for cities.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana Paula Barreira & Joaquim J. S. Ramalho & Thomas Panagopoulos & Maria Helena Guimarães, 2017. "Factors Driving the Population Growth and Decline of Portuguese Cities," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(4), pages 853-868, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:growch:v:48:y:2017:i:4:p:853-868
    DOI: 10.1111/grow.12205
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    Cited by:

    1. Catarina De Sousa Silva & Inês Viegas & Τhomas Panagopoulos & Simon Bell, 2018. "Environmental Justice in Accessibility to Green Infrastructure in Two European Cities," Land, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-23, November.
    2. João Lourenço Marques & Muhammad Tufail & Jan Wolf & Mara Madaleno, 2021. "Population Growth and the Local Provision of Services: The Role of Primary Schools in Portugal," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 40(2), pages 309-335, April.
    3. Kamila Ziółkowska-Weiss, 2021. "Satisfaction with Selected Indicators of the Quality of Urban Space by Polonia in the Greater Toronto Area," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-23, July.
    4. Marcos Álvarez‐Díaz & Béatrice D’Hombres & Lewis Dijkstra & Claudia Ghisetti & Nicola Pontarollo, 2021. "Unveiling the local determinants of population growth in the European Union," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(1), pages 150-166, March.
    5. Kyla M. Dahlin & Donald Akanga & Danica L. Lombardozzi & David E. Reed & Gabriela Shirkey & Cheyenne Lei & Michael Abraha & Jiquan Chen, 2020. "Challenging a Global Land Surface Model in a Local Socio-Environmental System," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-21, October.
    6. Alvarez-Dias, Marcos & D'Hombres, Beatrice & Ghisetti, Claudia & Pontarollo, Nicola & Dijkstra, Lewis, 2018. "The Determinants of Population Growth: Literature review and empirical analysis," Working Papers 2018-10, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.

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