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Escalation in Failed Military Interventions: Saudi and Emirati Quagmires in Yemen

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  • May Darwich

Abstract

External interventions are an enduring feature of international relationships. While the causes for interventions have been at the heart of studies on interventions, the dynamics of termination versus escalation have received little attention. This article poses the question: why do intervenors persist in failed military interventions despite diminishing prospects of victory? Whereas some scholars adhered to rational choice approaches, others focused on cognitive and emotional psychology to explain seemingly puzzling decisions at the origin of war continuation. This article builds on the emerging literature on status in IR to unravel the escalation of commitment to a failed war. It argues that when leaders engage their own status and that of their countries to an eventual success in a military intervention, persistence in the war becomes the only solution to salvage their status. Through this lens, this article presents an explanation for Saudi and Emirati escalations in what was planned as a brief operation in Yemen since 2015. Understanding the dynamics of persisting in failed wars has clear implications for the development of international relations theory, the conduct of regional powers in military interventions, and the practice of conflict resolution in the Middle East and beyond.

Suggested Citation

  • May Darwich, 2020. "Escalation in Failed Military Interventions: Saudi and Emirati Quagmires in Yemen," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 11(1), pages 103-112, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:glopol:v:11:y:2020:i:1:p:103-112
    DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.12781
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    Cited by:

    1. Asongu, Simplice & Uduji, Joseph & Okolo-Obasi, Elda, 2020. "Drivers and persistence of death in conflicts: global evidence," MPRA Paper 107240, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Dawud Ansari & Mariza Montes de Oca Leon & Helen Schlüter, 2021. "What Drives Saudi Airstrikes in Yemen? An Empirical Analysis of the Dynamics of Coalition Airstrikes, Houthi Attacks, and the Oil Market," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1959, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Almohamad, Selman & Kirchschlager, Markus & Kurtenbach, Sabine, 2020. "Peacebuilding after war and violence - Neighbourhood matters," GIGA Working Papers 324, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.

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