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The use of detailed statistical data in customs reforms: The case of Madagascar

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  • Cyril Chalendard
  • Gaël Raballand
  • Antsa Rakotoarisoa

Abstract

To carry out their various missions—collecting revenue, facilitating trade and ensuring security— many customs administrations have established a risk management unit. In developing countries, however, because of the lack of dedicated human and material resources, intelligence and risk analysis remain insufficiently developed. In view of the lack of resources, this article proposes a simple methodology aiming at detecting risky import operations. The mirror analysis first helps to identify and target products or sectors with the greatest risk. Based on the examination of customs declarations patterns (data mining), it is then possible to identify and target higher risk economic operators (importers and customs brokers). When implemented in Madagascar, this method has helped to reveal probable fraud cases in the context of current customs reforms.

Suggested Citation

  • Cyril Chalendard & Gaël Raballand & Antsa Rakotoarisoa, 2019. "The use of detailed statistical data in customs reforms: The case of Madagascar," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 37(4), pages 546-563, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:devpol:v:37:y:2019:i:4:p:546-563
    DOI: 10.1111/dpr.12352
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    Cited by:

    1. David Atkin & Amit K. Khandelwal, 2020. "How Distortions Alter the Impacts of International Trade in Developing Countries," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 12(1), pages 213-238, August.
    2. Fawzi Banao & Bertrand Laporte, 2022. "Terrorism, Customs and fraudulent Gold exports in Africa," CERDI Working papers hal-03889094, HAL.
    3. Cyril Chalendard & Alice Duhaut & Ana Margarida Fernandes & Aaditya Mattoo & Gael Raballand & Bob Rijkers, 2020. "Does Better Information Curb Customs Fraud?," CESifo Working Paper Series 8371, CESifo.
    4. Hillberry, Russell & Karabay, Bilgehan & Tan, Shawn W., 2022. "Risk management in border inspection," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    5. Joel CARIOLLE & Cyril CHALENDARD & Anne-Marie GEOURJON & Bertrand LAPORTE, 2016. "Décloisonner l’analyse des données pour appuyer la modernisation des douanes : une illustration à partir du Gabon," Working Papers 201618, CERDI.
    6. Banao, Fawzi, 2025. "Illicit Natural Resource Trade and Security: Does Gold customs fraud Expand or Undermine Military Spending in Africa?," EconStor Preprints 315363, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    7. Joël CARIOLLE & Cyril CHALENDARD & Anne-Marie GEOURJON & Bertrand LAPORTE, 2017. "Going beyond analysis of internal data to support customs modernization: a case study in Gabon," Working Papers P173, FERDI.
    8. Cyril Chalendard, 2016. "Shifting-Profits through Tax Loopholes. Evidence from Ecuador," CESifo Working Paper Series 6240, CESifo.
    9. Kasper Brandt, 2020. "Illicit financial flows and the Global South: A review of methods and evidence," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-169, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    10. Russell Hillberry & Carlos Zurita, 2022. "Commitment behaviour in the World Trade Organization's Trade Facilitation Agreement," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 36-75, January.
    11. Cyril Chalendard & Ana M Fernandes & Gael Raballand & Bob Rijkers, 2023. "Corruption in Customs," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 138(1), pages 575-636.
    12. Tom Moerenhout & Joonseok Yang, 2022. "Tax Evasion Attitudes of Small Firms in Low‐ and Middle‐income Countries: Evidence from Nigeria," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 40(6), November.

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