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Methods for constructing an assessment of the development of the coronavirus pandemic

Author

Listed:
  • Valeria V. Burmakina

    (Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University of the Ministry of Health of Russia, Moscow, Russia)

  • Dmitriy V. Pomazkin

    (JSC NPF "Gazprombank Fund", Moscow, Russia)

  • Ivan D. Prokhorov

    (Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University of the Ministry of Health of Russia, Moscow, Russia)

Abstract

The article discusses the forecast of the development of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the basis of the SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) type model and official morbidity statistics.

Suggested Citation

  • Valeria V. Burmakina & Dmitriy V. Pomazkin & Ivan D. Prokhorov, 2020. "Methods for constructing an assessment of the development of the coronavirus pandemic," Population and Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 4(2), pages 96-102, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:arh:jpopec:v:4:y:2020:i:2:p:96-102
    DOI: 10.3897/popecon.4.e53686
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    coronavirus COVID-19 mathematical modelling;

    JEL classification:

    • I19 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Other
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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