IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/arh/jpopec/v3y2019i4p30-44.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Target regional size and structure of the population of the Russian Federation: possibilities to identify and achieve

Author

Listed:
  • Ekaterina A. Edinak

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia)

  • Andrey G. Korovkin

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia)

  • Ivan B. Korolev

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia)

Abstract

The article proposes a solution of the task of achieving the target regional population size and structure, which would be sustainable in the long term, by means of managing its movement. The significance of this task is justified by the growing concentration of population and labour in a few number of Russia's regions in the current and projected periods, primarily due to migration processes. The apparatus of matrix equations is used to shape the conditions for reaching the target size and structure of the population. The article presents the estimates of the equilibrium population of the Russian Federation and the possibilities of reaching the target population size in prospect. The demographic forecast of Rosstat up to 2035 in three variants is considered as a target. For each of variants, the required increase of population via birth and immigration is calculated. The possibilities to assess the need in population inflow and to achieve the target population size by using the methodology proposed in the article are shown by the case of the Far Eastern Federal District. It is argued that nowadays a crucial element of social and economic policy in the regions should be creation of new jobs with higher labour productivity and therefore, reduction of the need for foreign labour migrants in the Russian labour market.

Suggested Citation

  • Ekaterina A. Edinak & Andrey G. Korovkin & Ivan B. Korolev, 2019. "Target regional size and structure of the population of the Russian Federation: possibilities to identify and achieve," Population and Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 3(4), pages 30-44, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:arh:jpopec:v:3:y:2019:i:4:p:30-44
    DOI: 10.3897/popecon.3.e49666
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://populationandeconomics.pensoft.net/article/49666/
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.3897/popecon.3.e49666?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    population of the Russian Federation; forecasting; regional structure; migration movement; natural movement; balance of population movement; balance of labour resources; model of population and labour force movement;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arh:jpopec:v:3:y:2019:i:4:p:30-44. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Teodor Georgiev (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://populationandeconomics.pensoft.net/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.