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Robust Decision Theory and Econometrics

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  • Gary Chamberlain

Abstract

This review uses the empirical analysis of portfolio choice to illustrate econometric issues that arise in decision problems. Subjective expected utility (SEU) can provide normative guidance to an investor making a portfolio choice. The investor, however, may have doubts on the specification of the distribution and may seek a decision theory that is less sensitive to the specification. I consider three such theories: maxmin expected utility, variational preferences (including multiplier and divergence preferences and the associated constraint preferences), and smooth ambiguity preferences. I use a simple two-period model to illustrate their application. Normative empirical work on portfolio choice is mainly in the SEU framework, and bringing in ideas from robust decision theory may be fruitful.

Suggested Citation

  • Gary Chamberlain, 2020. "Robust Decision Theory and Econometrics," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 12(1), pages 239-271, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:anr:reveco:v:12:y:2020:p:239-271
    DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-081919-042544
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    Cited by:

    1. Keisuke Hirano & Jack R. Porter, 2023. "Asymptotic Representations for Sequential Decisions, Adaptive Experiments, and Batched Bandits," Papers 2302.03117, arXiv.org.

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