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O Comportamento da Política Fiscal Brasileira no Século XXI: Uma Análise a partir do Impulso Fiscal

  • Helder Ferreira de Mendonça

    (Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF) e Pesquisador do CNPq, Brasil)

  • Octavio Vargas Freitas Pinton

    (Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF) e Petrobras, Brasil)

Este artigo apresenta uma análise para a política fiscal brasileira no período 2000-2010 a partir da elaboração de um indicador de impulso fiscal. Os resultados obtidos mostram que houve uma postura expansionista entre 2000 e 2010. Entretanto, a análise a partir de cada ano permitiu identificar duas fases na condução da política fiscal. Entre os anos 2000 e 2004 houve um “período de ajuste”, e entre 2005 e 2010 (“período de amadurecimento”) a política fiscal passou a funcionar como uma ferramenta anticíclica. Além disso, este estudo revela que, na maioria dos anos, o ambiente econômico contribui para superestimar o resultado fiscal do governo federal.

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Article provided by ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] in its journal Economia.

Volume (Year): 13 (2012)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 281_301

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Handle: RePEc:anp:econom:v:13:y:2012:i:2:281_301
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