IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Time Series Analyses Of Twin Deficits Hypothesis In Turkey


  • Bedriye Tuncsiper
  • Dilek Surekci

    () (Balikesir University
    Nuh Naci Yazgan University)


In this study examines Twin Deficits Hypothesis over the period 1987:01–2007:03 in Turkey by using econometric Vector Autoregressive Model technique. The Public deficit indicators represented by public sector borrowing requirement and domestic dept percentage of gross domestic product. In addition, current account deficits percentage of gross domestic product, real exchange rate index, growth rate and dummy variables are the other variables in this model. Dummy variable used in this model indicates the periods of economic crises. The results of the study, Twin Deficits Hypothesis is not supported by findings. Also the results show that real exchange rate has more significant impact on current account deficits than other variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Bedriye Tuncsiper & Dilek Surekci, 2011. "Time Series Analyses Of Twin Deficits Hypothesis In Turkey," Anadolu University Journal of Social Sciences, Anadolu University, vol. 11(3), pages 103-120, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:and:journl:v:11:y:2011:i:3:p:103-120

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    More about this item


    Twin Deficits Hypothesis; Current Account Deficit; Public Policiy; VAR Analyses; Turkey.;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:and:journl:v:11:y:2011:i:3:p:103-120. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Social Sciences Institute). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.