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Tipo de Cambio Real y Paridad de Poder Adquisitivo: Una aproximación no lineal

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Cuattromo

    (Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas)

Abstract

El objetivo de este trabajo es investigar un modelo autorregresivo de transición suave (STAR, por su sigla en inglés) para su aplicación a la serie del Tipo de Cambio Real (TCR) bilateral con Estados Unidos. Encontramos que la metodología propuesta sugiere que la serie del TCR debería modelarse como un proceso estacionario no lineal con una función de transición asimétrica (vgr. logística). Sin embargo, al constatar la robustez de estos resultados encontramos que la presencia de valores extremos (vgr. outliers) y problemas de baja potencia sugieren tomar estas conclusiones con cierta precaución.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Cuattromo, 2022. "Tipo de Cambio Real y Paridad de Poder Adquisitivo: Una aproximación no lineal," Revista de Economía Política de Buenos Aires, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET), vol. 16(24), pages 7-75, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ake:repba1:2022-24
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.56503/repba.Nro.24(16)pp47-75
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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