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Économétrie historique des salaires en France: une relecture des années charnières

Author

Listed:
  • Claude DIEBOLT
  • Magali JAOUL-GRAMMARE

Abstract

Cet article vise à confronter l’évolution des salaires au développement socio-économique de la France aux 19ème et 20ème siècles. Nous cherchons à détecter les chocs temporaires et permanents qui ont affecté la croissance des salaires réels français depuis le début du 19ème siècle, afin de proposer un nouveau découpage de la période d’étude en diverses sous périodes. Pour ce faire, nous avons recours aux outils récents de l’économétrie historique. Les résultats obtenus à partir de la détection et l’analyse des points atypiques montrent que deux événements majeurs ont influencé les salaires en France : la 2ème République et la crise de 1921. Si la 2ème République a un effet ponctuel sur l’évolution des salaires, nous mettons en évidence que la crise des années 1920 a un effet certes temporaire, mais plus long. L’étude des relations de causalité entre salaire, prix et chômage permet, quant à elle, de nous positionner par rapport aux datations proposées par Marchand et Thélot et celles fournies par Boyer.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Claude DIEBOLT & Magali JAOUL-GRAMMARE, 2014. "Économétrie historique des salaires en France: une relecture des années charnières," Economies et Sociétés (Serie 'Histoire Economique Quantitative'), Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), issue 49, pages 1293-1308, Août.
    • Handle: RePEc:afc:ecosoc:y:2014:i:49:p:1293-1308
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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General
    • N33 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy - - - Europe: Pre-1913
    • N34 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy - - - Europe: 1913-

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